Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 1.179061 1.342155 1.519727 1.727445 1.963819 2.224506 2.533931
2025-11-30 0.913659 1.132158 1.390844 1.719840 2.127449 2.616350 3.248095
2025-12-07 0.752927 0.989475 1.286265 1.686281 2.212034 2.880546 3.797034
2025-12-14 0.634588 0.874985 1.191256 1.638265 2.254897 3.077370 4.261030
2025-12-21 0.554664 0.797297 1.129908 1.619802 2.324587 3.304527 4.775660
2025-12-28 0.513499 0.766234 1.125723 1.675195 2.496121 3.681024 5.528840
2026-01-04 0.458310 0.707513 1.074073 1.653571 2.549642 3.887797 6.048251
2026-01-11 0.427741 0.681493 1.066564 1.694719 2.697600 4.243469 6.821228
2026-01-18 0.393043 0.644915 1.038413 1.699385 2.786656 4.512954 7.479866
2026-01-25 0.357204 0.602553 0.996480 1.676651 2.827404 4.706121 8.028208
2026-02-01 0.322889 0.559114 0.948331 1.638128 2.836661 4.845736 8.495521
2026-02-08 0.296934 0.527181 0.916037 1.622582 2.881863 5.046730 9.082415
2026-02-15 0.274733 0.502161 0.897456 1.636856 2.994362 5.397771 10.015149
2026-02-22 0.250484 0.471448 0.866793 1.628244 3.068674 5.695723 10.898596
2026-03-01 0.226089 0.437539 0.826411 1.596524 3.095364 5.907217 11.639690
2026-03-08 0.202939 0.403320 0.781649 1.551083 3.089904 6.055829 12.272418
2026-03-15 0.185906 0.379060 0.753106 1.533610 3.136108 6.306397 13.131781
2026-03-22 0.178479 0.373116 0.759454 1.586032 3.327140 6.860407 14.668803
2026-03-29 0.164089 0.351311 0.731799 1.565567 3.365352 7.107666 15.587672
2026-04-05 0.156882 0.343800 0.732527 1.604508 3.532405 7.637709 17.171052
2026-04-12 0.147114 0.329721 0.718017 1.608923 3.624736 8.017103 18.461519
2026-04-19 0.136034 0.311586 0.692991 1.587410 3.656969 8.267957 19.486665
2026-04-26 0.124808 0.291960 0.662765 1.550953 3.651220 8.432854 20.328934